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Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · MIN, 17 MEI · 00:00 WIB LOCAL
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CASA PIA
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DETIK
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · 8,500 capacity
RIO AVE
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 44/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
CAS
1 – 1
RIO
most likely scoreline · 15.2% probability
PILIHAN AI CASA PIA TO WIN 52%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

BAGAIMANA AI LIHAT PERTANDINGAN

PRE-MATCH
CAS WIN 52%
IMBANG 26%
RIO WIN 22%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 78% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 78% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched on quality; Casa Pia slight home edge offset by Rio Ave's superior away form (LWWWL).

🤖 AI REASONING kenapa AI pilih ini
WHY CASA PIA FAVORED
52%
Casa Pia terrible home form (LLDDD) vs Rio Ave strong away form (LWWWL) — edge narrows
+25.0%
Both teams identical GD (0) and similar league position (16th vs 13th) — quality very close
+20.0%
Bookmaker home favourite (58.5%) reasonable but not screaming value; draw underpriced at 23.3%
+15.0%
WHY RIO AVE CHALLENGED
22%
Casa Pia terrible home form (LLDDD) vs Rio Ave strong away form (LWWWL) — edge narrows
+25.0%
Both teams identical GD (0) and similar league position (16th vs 13th) — quality very close
+20.0%
Bookmaker home favourite (58.5%) reasonable but not screaming value; draw underpriced at 23.3%
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Casa Pia terrible home form (LLDDD) vs Rio Ave strong away form (LWWWL) — edge narrows
  • Both teams identical GD (0) and similar league position (16th vs 13th) — quality very close
  • Bookmaker home favourite (58.5%) reasonable but not screaming value; draw underpriced at 23.3%
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

TIMELINE PROBABILITAS

Bagaimana AI re-proyeksi setelah setiap event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

PROBABILITAS SCORELINE

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 15.2%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
11.9
5.2
1.5
0.3
0.1
·
1
15.2
13.3
5.9
1.7
0.4
0.1
·
2
8.5
7.5
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
3.2
2.8
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 15.2%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.3%
0 — 1 11.9%
2 — 0 8.5%
Top 5 = 62.4% · rest 37.6%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BET

Di mana AI lihat keuntungan vs odds bandar
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
PASAROddsPROBABILITAS AIFAIRKEUNTUNGAN
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.75
22.0%
4.55
+4.5%
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Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.16
48.0%
2.08
+3.8%
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Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.96
26.0%
3.85
+2.9%
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Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.77
56.0%
1.79
-1.1%
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Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.80
51.0%
1.96
-8.1%
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HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.17
78.0%
1.28
-8.7%
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HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.22
74.0%
1.35
-9.8%
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HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.65
52.0%
1.92
-14.0%
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⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are bukan jaminan. Bet responsibly.